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76ers vs. Nets prediction, odds, line, start time: 2023 NBA playoff picks, Game 3 bets from model on 71-37 run

The Brooklyn Nets and Philadelphia 76ers rekindle a first-round series in the 2023 NBA playoffs on Thursday. The series shifts to Barclays Center in Brooklyn for the first time, with the Sixers leading 2-0 in the best-of-seven tilt. Philadelphia won Game 2 by a double-digit margin, with Brooklyn aiming to maintain a puncher’s chance with a victory at home. The Nets were 23-18 at home this season, while the 76ers posted a 25-16 road record. Ben Simmons (back) is out for Brooklyn while Jalen McDaniels (illness) is questionable for Philadelphia. 

Tipoff is at 7:30 p.m. ET in Brooklyn. Caesars Sportsbook lists Philadelphia as the 4.5-point road favorite, while the over/under is 209.5 in the latest 76ers vs. Nets odds. Before you make any Nets vs. 76ers picks, you need to see the NBA playoff predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s advanced computer simulation model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past four-plus seasons. The model enters the second week of the 2023 NBA playoffs a stunning 71-37 on all top-rated NBA picks this season, returning nearly $3,000. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Sixers vs. Nets and just locked in its picks and NBA playoff predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Now, here are several NBA betting lines and trends for Nets vs. Sixers:

  • 76ers vs. Nets spread: 76ers -4.5
  • 76ers vs. Nets over/under: 209.5 points 
  • 76ers vs. Nets money line: 76ers -210, Nets +175
  • PHL: The 76ers are 23-18 against the spread in the last 10 games 
  • BKN: The Nets are 19-21-1 against the spread in the last 10 games 
  • 76ers vs. Nets picks: See picks at SportsLine

Featured Game | Brooklyn Nets vs. Philadelphia 76ers

Why the 76ers can cover

The Sixers have the stronger defensive profile in this series, allowing only 101.6 points per 100 possessions through two games. In addition, the 76ers are highly potent on offense, both recently and over a full-season sample. Philadelphia is scoring almost 1.2 points per possession in the series, making 41% of 3-point attempts and more than 90% of free throw attempts. Though it is often a weakness for the 76ers, Philadelphia is making gains on the offensive glass, including 19.5 second-chance points per game, and the 76ers posted a top-four offensive rating (117.0) during the regular season. Philadelphia led the league in 3-point accuracy (38.7%), and the 76ers have multiple threats from an individual standpoint. 

MVP candidate Joel Embiid led the NBA in scoring this season, and he produced 20 points, 19 rebounds and seven assists in Game 2. James Harden led the league with 10.7 assists per game in the regular season, and with the Nets zeroing in on Embiid defensively, ace shooting guard Tyrese Maxey zoomed to 33 points in the Game 2 victory. Philadelphia also generates more than 25 free throw attempts per game dating back to the regular season, and Brooklyn struggles on defense in giving up more than 24 attempts per game at the charity stripe. See who to back at SportsLine.

Why the Nets can cover

The Nets return home to a friendly environment, looking for a fresh start in the series. Brooklyn has out-scored opponents by 3.4 points per 100 possessions at Barclays Center this season, starkly better than the team’s road numbers, and the Nets also have an emerging star in Mikal Bridges. He averaged 26.1 points per game with 60.7% true shooting after joining the Nets from the Suns by way of a midseason trade. Bridges is also averaging 25.5 points per game while shooting 54.5% from the field in the series. 

Brooklyn also has lineup flexibility and the ability to play five shooters at the same time. The Nets finished in the top seven of the NBA in field goal percentage (48.7%), 3-point percentage (37.8%) and free throw percentage (80.0%). Brooklyn is also strongly above-average in creating fast break points (14.7 per game in the regular season) with 25.5 assists and only 13.7 turnovers per game in 2022-23. See who to back at SportsLine.

How to make 76ers vs. Nets picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning Over on the total, projecting 220 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread has all the value. You can only see the model’s picks at SportsLine.

So who wins Nets vs. 76ers? And which side of the spread holds all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that is 71-37 on top-rated NBA picks, and find out.  

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