Bucks vs. Heat prediction, odds, line, time: 2023 NBA playoff picks, Game 3 best bets from model on 71-37 run

A first-round matchup in the 2023 NBA playoffs features the Milwaukee Bucks traveling to play the Miami Heat in Game 3 on Saturday evening. These teams split the first two matchups, with Milwaukee logging a 138-122 victory on Wednesday night. Giannis Antetokounmpo (back) is questionable while Wesley Matthews (calf) is sidelined for Milwaukee. Tyler Herro (hand) is out for the Heat.

Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET at Kaseya Center in Miami. Caesars Sportsbook lists Milwaukee as the 5-point favorite in the latest Bucks vs. Heat odds. The over/under for total points is set at 220. Before making any Heat vs. Bucks picks, you need to see the NBA playoff predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s advanced computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past four-plus seasons. The model enters the second week of the 2023 NBA playoffs a stunning 71-37 on all top-rated NBA picks this season, returning nearly $3,000. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Heat vs. Bucks and just locked in its picks and NBA playoff predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several NBA odds and betting lines for Bucks vs. Heat:

  • Heat vs. Bucks spread: Bucks -5
  • Heat vs. Bucks over/under: 220 points
  • Heat vs. Bucks money line: Heat +158, Bucks -190
  • MIA: 14-25-4 ATS at home this season 
  • MIL: 19-17-5 ATS on road this season 
  • Heat vs. Bucks picks: See picks at SportsLine

Featured Game | Miami Heat vs. Milwaukee Bucks

Why the Bucks can cover

Regardless of Antetokounmpo’s status, Milwaukee has several scoring options. Forward Khris Middleton is a smooth three-level scorer in the frontcourt. Middleton knows how to consistently get to his spots and be efficient from the field. The three-time All-Star currently leads the team in scoring (24.5) with 7.5 rebounds and 5.5 assists per game. In Game 1, Middleton dropped 33 points, nine boards and four assists.

Guard Jrue Holiday has been an exceptional two-way force for this group. Holiday plays elite defense and owns superb court vision as a playmaker. The two-time All-Star can score from all over the floor. Holiday leads the team in assists (13.5) with 20 points per game. In Game 2, he notched 24 points, five boards and 11 assists. See which side to back at SportsLine

Why the Heat can cover

Forward Jimmy Butler is a sound producer on both ends of the court. Butler plays defense at a high rate and can defend multiple positions. The six-time All-Star owns an all-around offensive game and will find his way into the lane. Butler leads the squad in scoring (30), assists (7) and steals (2.5). He dropped 25 points and three assists in Wednesday’s contest.

Center Bam Adebayo is a powerful player in the lane. Adebayo has the strength and speed to guard positions three through five with no hesitation. The Kentucky product uses his leaping ability to finish above the rim and can knock down mid-range jumpers with no problem. Adebayo is averaging 20 points, seven boards and four assists per game. In Game 1, he supplied 22 points, nine boards and seven assists. See which side to back at SportsLine.

How to make Bucks vs. Heat picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning Under on the point total, projecting the teams to combine for 219 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in over 50% of simulations. You can see the model’s pick at SportsLine

So who wins Heat vs. Bucks? And which side of the spread hits over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that is 71-37 on top-rated NBA picks, and find out.  

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