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Warriors vs. Kings prediction, odds, start time: 2023 NBA playoff picks, Game 5 bets from model on 71-38 run

A crucial Game 5 features the Sacramento Kings hosting the Golden State Warriors on Wednesday night. The last time these teams faced off in the Golden 1 Center, the Kings beat the Warriors 114-106 in Game 2 of the 2023 NBA playoffs. Sacramento is 10-3 against the spread in its last 13 games following a straight-up loss. Meanwhile, the Warriors are 4-1 ATS in their last five when their opponent scores 100-plus points in their previous game. Guard De’Aaron Fox (finger) is listed as questionable for the Kings. 

Tip-off is scheduled for 10 p.m. ET at Golden 1 Center in Sacramento, Calif. Caesars Sportsbook lists Golden State as a 2-point favorite in the latest Warriors vs. Kings odds, while the over/under for total points is 235. Before making any Kings vs. Warriors picks, you’ll want to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past four-plus seasons. The model entered the third week of the 2023 NBA playoffs a stunning 71-38 on all top-rated NBA picks this season, returning nearly $2,800. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Warriors vs. Kings and just locked in its picks and NBA playoff predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several NBA odds and betting lines for Kings vs. Warriors:

  • Warriors vs. Kings spread: Golden State -2
  • Warriors vs. Kings over/under: 235 points 
  • Warriors vs. Kings money line: Golden State -135, Sacramento +115
  • GS: The Warriors are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games following an ATS loss
  • SAC: The Under is 6-1 in the Kings’ last seven Wednesday games
  • Warriors vs. Kings picks: See picks at SportsLine

Featured Game | Sacramento Kings vs. Golden State Warriors

Why the Kings can cover

Guard Fox is listed as questionable (finger) but is expected to suit up. Fox is an explosive floor general with great length and speed. The Kentucky product can quickly penetrate the lane and be an energetic defender on the other end. Fox is leading the team in points (31.5), assists (7), and steals (2.5) this postseason. In Game 4, he tallied 38 points, nine boards, and five assists.

The Kings have plenty of weapons that can score for them such as forward Harrison Barnes, who has the ability to put the ball on the deck and be an asset from the perimeter. The North Carolina product is averaging 13 points and 4.3 rebounds in the playoffs, and he supplied 17 points in Game 3. Meanwhile, guard Davion Mitchell provides Sacramento with a tough, hard-nosed defender off the bench. Mitchell has a quick first step and isn’t afraid to attack the lane as the Baylor product dropped at least 12 points in two of his last three games. In Game 4, Mitchell finished with 12 points on 5-of-8 shooting. See which side to back at SportsLine.

Why the Warriors can cover

Guard Klay Thompson doesn’t need the ball in his hands to be effective as he has excellent range and thrives as a catch-and-shoot option. The Washington State product is second on the squad in scoring (20.3) with 4.5 rebounds while shooting 39% from beyond the arc in the playoffs. He has scored at least 21 points in three of the four games played. In Game 4, Thompson dropped 26 points and made four 3-pointers.

Forward Draymond Green is the enforcer on the floor. Green does so much in the frontcourt, including playmaking, rebounding, and playing elite defense. The Michigan State product is leading the team in assists (7.7) and steals (1.7) with eight points per game in the playoffs. He’s also second on the squad in rebounds (7.7). On Sunday, Green totaled 12 points, 10 boards, and seven dimes. See which side to back at SportsLine.

How to make Kings vs. Warriors picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning Over on the point total, projecting the teams to combine for 240 points. The model also says one side of the spread has all of the value. You can see the model’s picks at SportsLine

So who wins Warriors vs. Kings? And which side of the spread has all of the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that is 71-38 on top-rated NBA picks, and find out.  

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