2023 BMW Championship picks, odds, field: PGA predictions, best bets by model that nailed 10 majors
The 2023 FedEx Cup Playoffs enter its second week with the top 50 players in the FedEx Cup standings remaining in the chase for the $18 million grand prize. The 2023 BMW Championship begins Thursday, Aug. 17, at Olympia Fields Country Club in Illinois. Rory McIlroy won the FedEx Cup last season and got off to a strong start this postseason, finishing T-3 at the FedEx St. Jude Championship. Should you include McIlroy, who’s finished T-9 or better in each of his last eight starts, in your BMW Championship 2023 picks?
McIlroy, who is third in the FedEx Cup standings, is the 13-2 favorite to win the BMW Championship. Scottie Scheffler (7-1), Jon Rahm (9-1) and Patrick Cantlay (10-1) follow in the latest 2023 BMW Championship odds. Before locking in your 2023 BMW Championship picks, be sure to see the golf predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.
Our proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June of 2020. In fact, the model is up more than $9,200 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament.
McClure’s model predicted Jon Rahm would finish on top of the leaderboard at the 2023 Sentry Tournament of Champions and The American Express. And at the 2023 Masters, the model was all over Rahm’s second career major victory heading into the weekend. Rahm was two strokes off the lead heading into the third round, but the model still projected him as the winner. It was the second straight Masters win for the model, which also nailed Scottie Scheffler winning in 2022.
In addition, the model included Nick Taylor in its best bets to win the 2023 RBC Canadian Open. That bet hit at +7000, and for the entire tournament, McClure’s best bets returned nearly $1,900. McClure’s best bets also included Jason Day (17-1) winning outright at the 2023 AT&T Byron Nelson and Rickie Fowler (14-1) finishing on top of the leaderboard at the 2023 Rocket Mortgage Classic.
This same model has also nailed a whopping 10 majors entering the weekend. Anyone who has followed it has seen massive returns.
Now that the 2023 BMW Championship field is set, SportsLine simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard.
Top 2023 BMW Championship predictions
One major surprise the model is calling for at the BMW Championship 2023: Scheffler, the top-ranked player in the world and one of the favorites this week, stumbles and doesn’t even crack the top three. He got off to a red-hot start this season when he won a pair of tournaments before the end of March, but he has not won a tournament since then.
Scheffler is coming off back-to-back finishes outside the top 20, failing to crack the top 30 at the FedEx St. Jude Championship in the first leg of the playoffs. He ranks No. 146 on the PGA Tour in strokes gained from putting and is outside the top 100 in putts per round, which are concerning numbers heading into a huge tournament. The model prefers several other golfers with more appealing odds this week.
Another surprise: Tommy Fleetwood, a 20-1 longshot, makes a strong run at the title. He has a much better chance to win it all than his odds imply, so he’s a target for anyone looking for a huge payday. Fleetwood, who finished T-3 last weekend, has five top-10 finishes in his last six tournaments.
Fleetwood climbed to 10th in the FedEx Cup standings after last week’s strong showing and he’s had previous success at the BMW Championship. He finished T-8 in 2018 and T-11 in 2019. Fleetwood is sixth on the PGA Tour in total strokes gained, highlighted by seventh in strokes gained: tee-to-green and 11th in strokes gained: around-the-green. The model has confidence Fleetwood will continue his steady play this week and could emerge with his first career PGA Tour victory. See who else to pick here.
How to make 2023 BMW Championship picks
The model is also targeting three other golfers with odds of 20-1 or longer to make a strong run at the title. Anyone who backs these longshots could hit it big. You can only see the model’s picks here.
So, who will win the BMW Championship 2023, and which longshots will stun the golfing world? Check out the 2023 BMW Championship odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected 2023 BMW Championship leaderboard, all from the model that’s nailed 10 golf majors, including this year’s Masters and Open Championship.
2023 BMW Championship odds, field
See the full BMW Championship 2023 picks, best bets, and predictions here.
Rory McIlroy 13-2
Scottie Scheffler 7-1
Jon Rahm 9-1
Patrick Cantlay 10-1
Xander Schauffele 16-1
Victor Hovland 16-1
Tommy Fleetwood 20-1
Tyrrell Hatton 22-1
Collin Morikawa 22-1
Max Homa 25-1
Jordan Spieth 25-1
Rickie Fowler 28-1
Lucas Glover 28-1
Tony Finau 30-1
Hideki Matsuyama 30-1
Wyndham Clark 35-1
Tom Kim 35-1
Sungjae Im 35-1
Russell Henley 35-1
Jason Day 35-1
Cameron Young 35-1
Matt Fitzpatrick 40-1
Corey Conners 40-1
Brian Harman 40-1
Sam Burns 45-1
Si Woo Kim 50-1
Justin Rose 50-1
Cam Davis 50-1
Byeong Hun An 55-1
Sepp Straka 60-1
J.T. Poston 65-1
Keegan Bradley 70-1
Emiliano Grillo 70-1
Denny McCarthy 70-1
Taylor Moore 80-1
Sahith Theegala 90-1
Harris English 90-1
Eric Cole 90-1
Brendon Todd 90-1
Adam Schenk 90-1
Adam Hadwin 90-1
Lee Hodges 100-1
Chris Kirk 110-1
Andrew Putnam 110-1
Seamus Power 130-1
Adam Svensson 130-1
Tom Hoge 150-1
Patrick Rodgers 150-1
Kurt Kitayama 150-1
Nick Taylor 180-1
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