2023 PGA Championship odds, golf picks: Jon Rahm, Jordan Spieth predictions from model that hit the Masters
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Tiger Woods still remains one of, if not the, biggest draws in golf despite not winning a PGA Tour event since 2019. However, the 15-time major champion officially withdrew from the 2023 PGA Championship following ankle surgery., Woods competed in the Masters in April but withdrew due to injury before the third round with a 3 over. He had the ankle surgery a week later. Still, the 2023 PGA Championship field will be filled with star power at Oak Hill Country Club starting Thursday. Jon Rahm and Scottie Scheffler are 15-2 co-favorites in the 2023 PGA Championship odds at Caesars Sportsbook and are the top two players in the world.
Rory McIlroy (12-1), Thomas (16-1), Jordan Spieth (18-1) and Brooks Koepka (19-1) follow in the powerful 2023 PGA Championship lineup. Thomas won the PGA Championship last year and will try to become the first back-to-back winner since Koepka in 2018 and 2019. Before locking in your 2023 PGA Championship picks or entering any PGA DFS tournaments on sites like DraftKings and FanDuel, be sure to see the golf predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.
Our proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June of 2020. In fact, the model is up over $8,400 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament.
McClure’s model predicted Jon Rahm would finish on top of the leaderboard at the 2023 Sentry Tournament of Champions and The American Express. At the 2023 Masters, the model was all over Rahm’s second career major victory heading into the weekend. Rahm was two strokes off the lead heading into the third round, but the model still projected him as the winner.
In addition, the model included Nick Hardy and Davis Riley in its best bets to win the 2023 Zurich Classic. That bet hit at +4500, and for the entire tournament, McClure’s best bets returned over $1,100. McClure’s best bets also included J.T. Poston winning outright at the 2022 John Deere Classic, even though he was listed as a massive 55-1 longshot.
This same model has also nailed a whopping nine majors entering the weekend. Anyone who has followed it has seen massive returns.
Now that the 2023 PGA Championship is approaching, SportsLine simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard.
2023 PGA Championship predictions for Jordan Spieth, Rory McIlroy, Jon Rahm
One shocker the model is calling for at the PGA Championship 2023: Three-time major champion Jordan Spieth, who finished second in the 2015 PGA Championship and is one win away from a career grand slam, stumbles and barely cracks the top 10. Spieth has been close to picking up his first win this season, but has settled for top-five finishes in four of his last seven tournaments. Additionally, he is coming off of a missed cut in his last appearance, the Wells Fargo Championship, and withdrew from this week’s AT&T Byron Nelson.
Spieth’s accuracy has been an issue all season and he’s found the fairway on just 54.86% of drives. Moreover, he’s struggled to sink makeable putts, and ranks 124th among all golfers on putts between four and eight feet. Precision matters in major tournaments and Spieth hasn’t played with enough of it this season to believe that he will pick up his first win of the year at the PGA Championship 2023. See who else to fade here.
The model has also come up with a prediction for Rory McIlroy, a four-time major champion. McIlroy has won four career majors, but none since his 2014 PGA Championship. He missed the cut at the Masters, the first major of the season, after coming off an impressive 2022 majors season. Last year, McIlroy finished in the top eight in every major, including second at the Masters and third at the Open Championship.
The 34-year-old has been in a rut since finishing second at the Arnold Palmer Invitation on March 5. He missed the cut in two of his ensuing four tournaments and was 47th at the Wells Fargo Championship last weekend. Still, one skill McIlroy continues to maintain is his diving ability. He ranks first on the PGA Tour in driving distance (328.2), fourth in strokes gained tee to green (1.714) and seventh in strokes gained off the tee (.790). The 23-time PGA Tour champion has been strong off the tee, but struggled near the pin, ranking 159th in putting average (1.783) and 176th or worse in all putting categories from beyond 10 feet. See where every golfer finishes here.
On the other hand, the model has also examined Jon Rahm’s chances to win his second major championship of the season. Rahm has earned his title of No. 1 in the world with four victories and eight top-10 finishes in 12 events this year. Rahm won the Masters by four strokes with a 12-under and is coming off finishing second at the Mexico Open April 30.
The 28-year-old leads the PGA in total strokes gained (2.625), is 10th in driving distance (312.1), second in greens in regulation percentage (73.85%) and second in putting average (1.681). However, he has never played at Oak Hill Country Club and although he’s driving for distance, his accuracy is barely above PGA Tour average, ranking 75th at 61.50%. This will be his first tournament in May, so there are variables as to how Rahm will perform this year. See the full PGA Championship projections from the model here.
How to make 2023 PGA Championship picks
The model is targeting four golfers with odds of 20-1 or longer who will make surprising runs. Anyone who backs these longshots could hit it big. You can only see the model’s 2023 PGA Championship picks here.
Who will win the 2023 PGA Championship, which longshots will stun the golfing world, and where will Jon Rahm and Rory McIlroy finish? Check out the latest 2023 PGA Championship odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected PGA Championship 2023 leaderboard, all from the model that has nailed nine golf majors, including the Masters.
2023 PGA Championship odds, field
Jon Rahm +750
Scottie Scheffler +750
Rory McIlroy +1200
Justin Thomas +1600
Jordan Spieth +1800
Brooks Koepka +1900
Xander Schauffele +2000
Cameron Smith +2000
Patrick Cantlay +2200
Collin Morikawa +2200
Hideki Matsuyama +2500
Dustin Johnson +2500
Tony Finau +2500
Viktor Hovland +2500
Matthew Fitzpatrick +2500
Cameron Young +2500
Max Homa +3000
Jason Day +3000
Joonhyung (Tom) Kim +3500
Bryson DeChambeau +3500
Shane Lowry +3500
Talor Gooch +4000
Sungjae Im +4000
Joaquin Niemann +4000
Sam Burns +4000
Justin Rose +6000
Daniel Berger +6000
Sahith Theegala +6000
Paul Casey +6500
Tyrrell Hatton +6500
Louis Oosthuizen +6500
Corey Conners +6500
Patrick Reed +6500
Tommy Fleetwood +6500
Rickie Fowler +6500
Abraham Ancer +6500
Adam Scott +8000
Webb Simpson +8000
K.H. Lee +8000
Mackenzie Hughes +8000
Mito Pereira +8000
Tom Hoge +8500
Phil Mickelson +8500
Billy Horschel +9000
Keegan Bradley +9000
Aaron Wise +9000
Sergio Garcia +10000
Seamus Power +10000
Davis Riley +10000
Russell Henley +10000
Marc Leishman +10000
Harris English +10000
Si-Woo Kim +10000
Jason Kokrak +10000
Luke List +12500
Bubba Watson +12500
Chris Kirk +12500
Alex Noren +12500
Gary Woodland +12500
Matthew Wolff +12500
Harold Varner +12500
Robert Macintyre +12500
Christiaan Bezuidenhout +12500
JT Poston +15000
Maverick McNealy +15000
Brian Harman +15000
Matt Kuchar +15000
Cameron Champ +15000
Erik van Rooyen +15000
Kevin Kisner +15000
JJ Spaun +15000
Jhonattan Vegas +15000
Kevin Na +15000
Trey Mullinax +15000
Francesco Molinari +15000
Thomas Pieters +15000
Charl Schwartzel +15000
Sepp Straka +15000
Sebastian Munoz +20000
Lee Westwood +20000
Henrik Stenson +20000
Sam Horsfield +20000
Russell Knox +25000
Ryan Palmer +25000
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