2023 World Series: Rangers vs. Diamondbacks odds, line, time, Game 3 picks, predictions from proven model

Game 3 of the 2023 World Series arrives on Monday evening at Chase Field. The Arizona Diamondbacks host the Texas Rangers for the first game of the series in Phoenix. Texas opened with a Game 1 win, while Arizona answered with a victory in Game 2. Max Scherzer will start on the mound for the Rangers, with Brandon Pfaadt taking the ball for the Diamondbacks.

For this game, SportsLine consensus lists both teams at -110 on the money line (risk $110 to win $100), and first pitch is scheduled for 8:03 p.m. ET. The total number of runs Vegas thinks will be scored, or the over/under, is 9 in the latest Rangers vs. Diamondbacks odds. Before making any Diamondbacks vs. Rangers picks, be sure to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times. It went 331-285 on top-rated MLB money-line picks (+357) over the past two seasons. It entered the 2023 World Series 93-74 on all top-rated MLB picks this season and has excelled on top-rated run-line picks, going 18-6 (+766). Anybody following has seen big returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Diamondbacks vs. Rangers and just locked in its picks and MLB predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s World Series picks. Here are several MLB betting lines and trends for Rangers vs. Diamondbacks:

  • Rangers vs. Diamondbacks money line: Rangers -110, Diamondbacks -110
  • Rangers vs. Diamondbacks over/under: 9 runs
  • Rangers vs. Diamondbacks run line: Rangers -1.5 (+144)
  • TEX: The Rangers are 48-41 in 2023 road games
  • AZ: The Diamondbacks are 46-39 in home games
  • Rangers vs. Diamondbacks picks: See picks at SportsLine

Why you should back the Rangers

Texas has two clear offensive standouts in Corey Seager and Adolis Garcia. Seager has a 1.079 OPS with five doubles and four home runs during the 2023 MLB playoffs, and he has more walks (14) than strikeouts (nine) in that sample. That comes after Seager blasted 33 home runs and 42 doubles in 119 regular season games, and he is joined by Garcia, who is arguably the biggest story of the postseason. The two-time All-Star has three hits and a home run in the series, and Garcia has eight home runs and a .763 slugging percentage in 14 playoff games. Garcia also hit 39 home runs, leading the best offense in the American League this season. 

Texas led the AL in hits, walks, home runs, batting average, on-base percentage, slugging percentage and OPS this season, and the Rangers have an .802 OPS in the playoffs. That comes with 78 runs in 14 games, and Texas has 25 playoff home runs. Texas is also facing an inexperienced starting pitcher in Pfaadt, who has fewer than 100 regular season innings under his belt with a 5.72 ERA and more than two home runs allowed per nine innings. See which team to back here.

Why you should back the Diamondbacks

Arizona is flying high after a big win in Game 2, and the Diamondbacks have 14 runs scored and an .811 OPS in the World Series. The Diamondbacks also lead the league with 21 stolen bases in 14 playoff games, and Arizona has a friendly matchup against the Texas pitching staff. Scherzer has a 9.45 ERA in two playoff appearances, and Texas has a 4.82 ERA in the World Series. The Rangers also have only 45 strikeouts in 57.2 playoff innings, and the Diamondbacks finished in the top two of the NL in triples, stolen bases, and strikeout avoidance during the regular season. 

Arizona also appears to have a potent pitching situation for Game 3 behind Pfaadt and a bullpen that is performing well. Pfaadt has a 2.70 ERA in the playoffs, including a 1.86 ERA in the NLCS. Pfaadt has 22 strikeouts and only three walks in the postseason, and Arizona’s bullpen maintains a 3.04 ERA in the postseason with opponents producing only a .225 batting average against the Diamondbacks. See which team to back here.

How to make Diamondbacks vs. Rangers picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning Under on the total. It also says one side of the money line has all the value. You can only get the model’s MLB picks at SportsLine.

So who wins Game 3 of Rangers vs. Diamondbacks, and which side of the money line has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side you need to jump on, all from the model that has gone 93-74 on its top-rated MLB picks, and find out.

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